The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ApexPHwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tt Geamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ApexPH
No games played over 6 months.
Tt Geam
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
462 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 440 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 643 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ApexPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Tt Geam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:31
ApexPH 48%Tt Geam 52%
The model gave 52% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by ApexPH in 21:25.
Game 2prediction missed28:16
ApexPH 48%Tt Geam 52%
The model gave 52% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by ApexPH in 34:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteTt Geam · 52%
Series resultApexPH 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2