BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionAarcwardenteamloss 0:1
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
arcwardenteam
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Skywrath Magesignature
Lil · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
Worick · 6 games
Timbersawoften banned
Cloud · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Ember Spirit
Worick · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
HappyDyurara · 4 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Kami · 4 games
Slarkoften banned
Kami · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
arcwardenteam 22%Hydra 78%
The model gave 78% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 78%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1