Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
AS Monaco Gambitloss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
Rune Eaters
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 3 games
Mirana
ArrOw · 3 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
hAze · 2 games
Marsoften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Watson · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
444 picks · 260 bans
Mars
400 picks · 548 bans
Death Prophet
320 picks · 617 bans
Tiny
312 picks · 366 bans
Weaver
304 picks · 387 bans
Ember Spirit
281 picks · 406 bans
Queen of Pain
274 picks · 449 bans
Templar Assassin
264 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% AS Monaco Gambit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:47
AS Monaco Gambit 61%Rune Eaters 39%
The model gave 61% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 47:37.
Game 2prediction missed13:27
AS Monaco Gambit 61%Rune Eaters 39%
The model gave 61% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 29:06.
Game 3prediction missed30:38
AS Monaco Gambit 61%Rune Eaters 39%
The model gave 61% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 38:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 61%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3