CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
ASAKURAloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EGEnd Gamewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ASAKURA
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 13 games
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Lion
slimeyao · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
young G · 11 games
Elder Titansignature
VaniLLl · 10 games
Lich
VaniLLl · 10 games
Magnussignature
Infernal · 10 games
End Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
564 picks · 798 bans
Muerta
449 picks · 327 bans
Phoenix
442 picks · 697 bans
Phantom Assassin
422 picks · 759 bans
Clockwerk
411 picks · 395 bans
Bristleback
404 picks · 892 bans
Magnus
395 picks · 1078 bans
Pangolier
387 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% ASAKURA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ASAKURA 51%End Game 49%
The model gave 51% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by End Game.
Game 2prediction missed
ASAKURA 51%End Game 49%
The model gave 51% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by End Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 51%
Series resultEnd Game 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2