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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. ЮВА. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Atomic Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Atomic Esports

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Marb · 7 games
57%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Nishababy · 5 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Marb · 4 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
0%
Tiny
Tiny
Nishababy · 3 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Marb · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Marb · 1 game
0%

InterActive Philippines

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
747 picks · 606 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
549 picks · 471 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
421 picks · 1012 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 376 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 955 bans
51%
Doom
Doom
392 picks · 630 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
388 picks · 603 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
381 picks · 204 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Atomic Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Atomic Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:31
Atomic Esports 57%InterActive Philippines 43%
The model gave 57% on Atomic Esports — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 48:10.
Game 2prediction missed34:11
Atomic Esports 57%InterActive Philippines 43%
The model gave 57% on Atomic Esports — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 34:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtomic Esports · 57%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2