Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aurora Gaming
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 65 games
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 59 games
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 51 game
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 48 games
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 47 games
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 45 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 40 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 37 games
Rune Eaters
Tusk
ani-san · 31 game
Jakiro
Kidaro · 22 games
Tiny
ani-san · 22 games
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 17 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
573 picks · 402 bans
Rubick
486 picks · 289 bans
Tiny
402 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 485 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 632 bans
Windranger
329 picks · 236 bans
Phoenix
328 picks · 309 bans
Ember Spirit
311 picks · 457 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 46%
Hero pool strength59% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total94% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:37
Aurora Gaming 82%Rune Eaters 18%
The model gave 82% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 51:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenNightfall
LifestealerDarkLord^
Centaur WarrunnerWs
Ember SpiritCopy
ViperMikoto
LycanMalik
BaneMira
RubickEkki
JakiroKaori
Lichaik
Game 2prediction missed19:37
Aurora Gaming 82%Rune Eaters 18%
The model gave 82% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 39:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaMikoto
TinyDarkLord^
Shadow FiendNightfall
SnapfireMalik
AxeWs
Earth SpiritCopy
OracleKaori
BatriderEkki
Dark WillowMira
Lichaik
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 94%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2