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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Q · 16 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 16 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TA2000 · 15 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Q · 14 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Abed · 13 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Malady · 12 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Q · 12 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Abed · 12 games
33%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 31 game
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 22 games
64%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 19 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 18 games
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
88%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
487 picks · 425 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
451 picks · 531 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
446 picks · 553 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
442 picks · 564 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
435 picks · 232 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 781 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
389 picks · 435 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
384 picks · 805 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 6
Model total67% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:21
Aurora Gaming 40%Xtreme Gaming 60%
The model gave 60% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 34:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkPalos
47% · 93 games45% · 233 games
Morphlinglou
Morphling
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritAbed
55% · 243 games52% · 306 games
TinyXm
Tiny
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJabz
43% · 233 games51% · 101 game
Brewmasterniu
Brewmaster
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQ
47% · 380 games54% · 306 games
ClockwerkPoloson
Clockwerk
Pugna
PugnaOli
57% · 247 games48% · 250 games
MuertaPyw
Muerta
Game 2prediction correct15:29
Aurora Gaming 43%Xtreme Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackPalos
54% · 283 games46% · 496 games
Dragon Knightlou
Dragon Knight
Tiny
TinyAbed
53% · 483 games51% · 284 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Timbersaw
TimbersawJabz
50% · 350 games52% · 288 games
Primal Beastniu
Primal Beast
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
55% · 464 games47% · 371 game
EnchantressPoloson
Enchantress
Elder Titan
Elder TitanOli
48% · 166 games45% · 307 games
MuertaPyw
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 67%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2