Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Dendi · 10 games
Disruptor
Lodine · 8 games
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
StoneBank · 6 games
Mirana
Lodine · 6 games
Pangolieroften banned
Dendi · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
StoneBank · 6 games
cybercats
Rubick
jesv · 15 games
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 12 games
Disruptor
forcemajor · 11 games
Lycanoften banned
zenica · 10 games
Treant Protectorsignature
forcemajor · 10 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 9 games
Mirana
forcemajor · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
699 picks · 598 bans
Disruptor
561 picks · 492 bans
Beastmaster
458 picks · 1111 bans
Doom
450 picks · 813 bans
Ember Spirit
408 picks · 1042 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 838 bans
Enchantress
382 picks · 549 bans
Mirana
381 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 47%
Hero pool strength58% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:25
B8 Esports 39%cybercats 61%
The model gave 61% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 23:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordStoneBank
Storm Spirityoung G
Ember SpiritDendi
TidehunterDkFogas
VisageFunn1k
Faceless VoidDarkLord^
Spirit BreakerCTOMAHEH1
Pugnaforcemajor
TechiesLodine
MiranaDukalis
Game 2prediction correct21:35
B8 Esports 38%cybercats 62%
The model gave 62% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 50:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerStoneBank
Storm Spirityoung G
Ember SpiritDendi
Chaos KnightDarkLord^
Keeper of the LightCTOMAHEH1
AxeDkFogas
Night StalkerFunn1k
Miranaforcemajor
TechiesLodine
PugnaDukalis
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 69%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2