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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 26 games
42%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
22%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 17 games
47%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Lagoona · 15 games
27%

Nemiga Gaming

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 30 games
53%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 28 games
39%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Heaven · 20 games
40%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 20 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Lodine · 19 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 19 games
42%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
504 picks · 358 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
450 picks · 657 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
390 picks · 840 bans
57%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
388 picks · 486 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
373 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
300 picks · 511 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
291 picks · 459 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)10% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total80% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:30
B8 Esports 33%Nemiga Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainDendi
51% · 293 games57% · 49 games
Anti-MageKiritych
Anti-Mage
Medusa
Medusav1olent-
48% · 228 games48% · 246 games
PuckAinkrad
Puck
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerpJonn
50% · 233 games49% · 303 games
MarsTheChosenOne
Mars
Mirana
MiranaLagoona
54% · 206 games43% · 153 games
Dark WillowHeaven
Dark Willow
53% · 209 games
BaneVANSKOR
Bane
Game 2prediction correct21:40
B8 Esports 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 39:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladev1olent-
57% · 181 game40% · 96 games
BloodseekerKiritych
Bloodseeker
Enigma
EnigmapJonn
60% · 77 games45% · 169 games
Death ProphetAinkrad
Death Prophet
Void Spirit
Void SpiritDendi
47% · 373 games48% · 284 games
MarsTheChosenOne
Mars
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerLagoona
55% · 187 games45% · 140 games
Dark WillowHeaven
Dark Willow
48% · 129 games
Shadow DemonVANSKOR
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 80%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2