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European Pro League Season 18 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rest Farmerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
44%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
39%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 16 games
44%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
57%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
64%

Rest Farmers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
479 picks · 210 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 608 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
394 picks · 739 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
383 picks · 532 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
381 picks · 156 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
364 picks · 306 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 708 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
331 picks · 544 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total68% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:34
B8 Esports 32%Rest Farmers 68%
The model gave 68% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 1:04:32.
Game 2prediction missed55:40
B8 Esports 32%Rest Farmers 68%
The model gave 68% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 1:15:42.
Game 3prediction correct11:35
B8 Esports 32%Rest Farmers 68%
The model gave 68% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 32:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 68%
Series resultRest Farmers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3