IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Беларусьwin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Болгарияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Беларусь
No games played over 6 months.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
375 picks · 759 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 327 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 235 bans
Weaver
336 picks · 691 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 469 bans
Gyrocopter
307 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
303 picks · 517 bans
Phoenix
287 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Беларусь
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Болгария
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Беларусь 49%Болгария 51%
The model gave 51% on Болгария — the game was taken by Беларусь.
Game 2prediction missed
Беларусь 49%Болгария 51%
The model gave 51% on Болгария — the game was taken by Беларусь.
Model check result
Model favoriteБолгария · 51%
Series resultБеларусь 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2