Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Бельгияwin 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Португалияloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Бельгия
No games played over 6 months.
Португалия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 446 bans
Rubick
597 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 641 bans
Phoenix
422 picks · 486 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 496 bans
Puck
318 picks · 976 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Бельгия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Бельгия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Бельгия 62%Португалия 38%
The model gave 62% on Бельгия — the game was taken by Бельгия.
Game 2prediction missed
Бельгия 62%Португалия 38%
The model gave 62% on Бельгия — the game was taken by Португалия.
Game 3prediction correct
Бельгия 62%Португалия 38%
The model gave 62% on Бельгия — the game was taken by Бельгия.
Model check result
Model favoriteБельгия · 62%
Series resultБельгия 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3