DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 28 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 27 games
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 18 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 16 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 16 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 342 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 478 bans
Mars
299 picks · 410 bans
Techies
284 picks · 199 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 157 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 408 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 29%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:10
BETBOOM TEAM 89%Aurora Gaming 11%
The model gave 89% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:09.
Game 2prediction missed14:19
BETBOOM TEAM 89%Aurora Gaming 11%
The model gave 89% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 46:11.
Game 3prediction correct19:17
BETBOOM TEAM 89%Aurora Gaming 11%
The model gave 89% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 57:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 89%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3