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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 10 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
50%

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
85%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
75%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
58%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
359 picks · 312 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 302 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 482 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
265 picks · 368 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
248 picks · 457 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
247 picks · 314 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
247 picks · 165 bans
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
244 picks · 139 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total59% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:10
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawgpK~
53% · 185 games51% · 117 games
Dragon Knightdyrachyo
Dragon Knight
Sven
SvenNightfall
56% · 102 games47% · 152 games
Templar AssassinQuinn
Templar Assassin
Mars
MarsMieRo
52% · 141 game46% · 95 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 188 games48% · 180 games
PugnaSeleri
Pugna
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
44% · 17 games50% · 89 games
GrimstroketOfu
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction missed28:7
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Gaimin Gladiators 53%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
51% · 145 games42% · 73 games
Svendyrachyo
Sven
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
51% · 115 games53% · 52 games
LeshracQuinn
Leshrac
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
51% · 16 games50% · 49 games
RazorAce
Razor
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 74 games47% · 158 games
TinytOfu
Tiny
Techies
TechiesSave-
52% · 161 game48% · 179 games
Shadow DemonSeleri
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 59%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2