The International 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 28 games
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Windranger
Save- · 26 games
Heroic
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 20 games
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 18 games
Tusk
Scofield · 17 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
Magnus
Wisper · 15 games
Beastmastersignature
4nalog · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
347 picks · 239 bans
Puck
313 picks · 691 bans
Tusk
279 picks · 274 bans
Dark Willow
278 picks · 142 bans
Batrider
269 picks · 733 bans
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 603 bans
Nature's Prophet
251 picks · 520 bans
Marci
243 picks · 504 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:23
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Heroic 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MagePure~
BristlebackWisper
LycanMieRo
MarciYuma
Void SpiritgpK~
Earthshaker4nalog
HoodwinkSave-
ChenKJ
DisruptorKataomi
Queen of PainScofield
Game 2prediction missed18:42
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Heroic 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Heroic in 35:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetPure~
Templar AssassinYuma
Dark SeerMieRo
EarthshakerWisper
TimbersawgpK~
Leshrac4nalog
Dark WillowSave-
ClockwerkScofield
BaneKataomi
SilencerKJ
Game 3prediction correct41:22
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Heroic 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterPure~
Templar AssassinYuma
Queen of PaingpK~
DawnbreakerWisper
Sand KingMieRo
Dragon Knight4nalog
DisruptorKataomi
EnigmaKJ
HoodwinkSave-
BaneScofield
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3