The International 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 26 games
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Windranger
Save- · 24 games
Natus Vincere
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 22 games
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 16 games
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 16 games
Tiny
Copy · 16 games
Magnussignature
BOOM · 14 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Ari · 12 games
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 11 games
Undyingoften banned
Kaori · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
439 picks · 389 bans
Dark Willow
356 picks · 190 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 343 bans
Puck
331 picks · 791 bans
Batrider
323 picks · 840 bans
Tiny
278 picks · 214 bans
Pangolier
276 picks · 379 bans
Dawnbreaker
275 picks · 623 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:8
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Natus Vincere 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordPure~
Doomgotthejuice
LycanMieRo
LeshracNiku
EarthshakergpK~
Marspma
HoodwinkSave-
PugnaRiddys
OracleKataomi
DisruptorZayac
Game 2prediction correct35:19
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Natus Vincere 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightgpK~
Svengotthejuice
UrsaPure~
PuckNiku
Naga SirenKataomi
Timbersawpma
MarsMieRo
Spirit BreakerZayac
MuertaSave-
DisruptorRiddys
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2