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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OGloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 47 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 27 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 24 games
54%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 22 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 21 game
81%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
48%

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Tims · 32 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 27 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 25 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 23 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 23 games
65%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 21 game
43%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
639 picks · 998 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
534 picks · 447 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
466 picks · 639 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
448 picks · 1048 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
448 picks · 487 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
445 picks · 277 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 517 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
423 picks · 584 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total50% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:18
BETBOOM TEAM 48%OG 52%
The model gave 52% on OG — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 50:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaKiritych
49% · 182 games53% · 283 games
WindrangerNatsumi
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
54% · 222 games53% · 383 games
Ember SpiritYopaj
Ember Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
45% · 148 games48% · 85 games
LargoForce
Largo
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 398 games53% · 206 games
PhoenixTims
Phoenix
Lion
LionSave-
47% · 68 games46% · 61 game
AlchemistSkem
Alchemist
Game 2prediction missed9:32
BETBOOM TEAM 51%OG 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 41:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
50% · 280 games62% · 354 games
AbaddonNatsumi
Abaddon
Puck
PuckgpK~
50% · 425 games55% · 471 game
TinyYopaj
Tiny
Axe
AxeMieRo
40% · 224 games50% · 214 games
UnderlordForce
Underlord
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
50% · 658 games50% · 285 games
WindrangerTims
Windranger
Lion
LionSave-
44% · 85 games49% · 348 games
DisruptorSkem
Disruptor
Game 3prediction correct33:19
BETBOOM TEAM 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:01:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
51% · 51 game49% · 335 games
GyrocopterNatsumi
Gyrocopter
Largo
LargoMieRo
57% · 59 games50% · 115 games
EarthshakerYopaj
Earthshaker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
55% · 268 games49% · 151 game
Primal BeastForce
Primal Beast
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
48% · 173 games49% · 81 game
LionTims
Lion
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
48% · 346 games47% · 215 games
Ancient ApparitionSkem
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 50%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3