DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 44 games
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 25 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 24 games
Muerta
Save- · 23 games
Disruptor
Kataomi · 22 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 19 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
PARIVISION
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 23 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 14 games
Enigmasignature
DM · 13 games
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
Snapfiresignature
Dukalis · 13 games
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
618 picks · 959 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 427 bans
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 625 bans
Shadow Demon
433 picks · 979 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 464 bans
Dragon Knight
420 picks · 515 bans
Warlock
417 picks · 256 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 660 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 61%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 7
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:27
BETBOOM TEAM 49%PARIVISION 51%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 52:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void SpiritgpK~
MorphlingSatanic
BristlebackKiritych
RazorNo[o]ne
BatriderMieRo
LargoSSS
HoodwinkSave-
DisruptorDukalis
WarlockKataomi
Marci9Class
Game 2prediction correct14:29
BETBOOM TEAM 49%PARIVISION 51%
The model gave 51% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendKiritych
Templar AssassinSatanic
Storm SpiritgpK~
SniperNo[o]ne
OmniknightMieRo
MarsSSS
WindrangerSave-
JakiroDukalis
ClockwerkKataomi
Marci9Class
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2