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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Runa Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 33 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
55%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 21 game
62%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 21 game
62%

Runa Team

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Hduo · 57 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
queezy · 51 game
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 49 games
55%
Batrider
Batridersignature
queezy · 48 games
69%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Hduo · 41 game
68%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
nicky`cool · 39 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
nicky`cool · 38 games
74%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 38 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
766 picks · 354 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
573 picks · 299 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 551 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
529 picks · 393 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
514 picks · 622 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
484 picks · 288 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
465 picks · 736 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
454 picks · 509 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:11
BETBOOM TEAM 76%Runa Team 24%
The model gave 76% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
49% · 246 games49% · 79 games
Juggernautnesfeer
Juggernaut
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
49% · 391 game54% · 156 games
Sand Kingnicky`cool
Sand King
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
62% · 174 games44% · 298 games
PangolierAlberkaaa
Pangolier
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderMieRo
53% · 7 games45% · 216 games
WarlockHduo
Warlock
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
51% · 348 games45% · 417 games
Snapfirequeezy
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct29:5
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Runa Team 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
55% · 101 game51% · 163 games
Ursanesfeer
Ursa
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
46% · 347 games45% · 258 games
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
Centaur Warrunner
Dazzle
DazzleMieRo
52% · 126 games43% · 195 games
Batridernicky`cool
Batrider
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
53% · 181 game59% · 115 games
ChenHduo
Chen
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
49% · 239 games48% · 263 games
Snapfirequeezy
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 89%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2