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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Falconsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Lion
Lionsignature
Save- · 12 games
75%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 12 games
83%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 28 games
86%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Malr1ne · 21 game
62%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 19 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 19 games
84%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 18 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 17 games
59%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 17 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 327 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
331 picks · 480 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
329 picks · 316 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
277 picks · 401 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
271 picks · 371 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
266 picks · 184 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
261 picks · 144 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
256 picks · 188 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 66%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:33
BETBOOM TEAM 41%Team Falcons 59%
The model gave 59% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 30:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
51% · 181 game51% · 128 games
LunaSkiter
Luna
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
49% · 290 games49% · 51 game
LinaMalr1ne
Lina
Puck
PuckgpK~
47% · 197 games52% · 101 game
MarsATF
Mars
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 221 game56% · 220 games
BatriderCr1t-
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
48% · 15 games45% · 404 games
RubickSneyking
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed36:7
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Team Falcons 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
47% · 297 games60% · 150 games
MedusaSkiter
Medusa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
45% · 184 games49% · 235 games
PuckMalr1ne
Puck
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
52% · 370 games51% · 157 games
MarsATF
Mars
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
56% · 232 games43% · 430 games
RubickCr1t-
Rubick
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 182 games48% · 293 games
BatriderSneyking
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2