The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 31 game
Windrangersignature
Save- · 30 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Kataomi · 30 games
Hoodwink
Save- · 29 games
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 29 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 27 games
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Largosignature
MieRo · 25 games
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 42 games
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 23 games
Clockwerksignature
rue · 20 games
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
Rubicksignature
not me · 20 games
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
Doomsignature
Collapse · 16 games
Lionsignature
rue · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
484 picks · 336 bans
Bane
356 picks · 448 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 538 bans
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 489 bans
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 645 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 321 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 209 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total51% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:27
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 35:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinKiritych
TinyYatoro
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Ember SpiritLarl
LinagpK~
SlardarCollapse
Keeper of the LightSave-
Rubicknot me
HoodwinkKataomi
Winter Wyvernrue
Game 2prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 51%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2