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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 42 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%

Tundra Esports

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 46 games
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 43 games
81%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 33 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 31 game
68%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Saksa · 31 game
68%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
33 · 30 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 30 games
73%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 30 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
567 picks · 805 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
445 picks · 292 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
431 picks · 816 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
414 picks · 649 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
405 picks · 860 bans
55%
Magnus
Magnus
385 picks · 1006 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
384 picks · 342 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 511 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head4 – 10
Model total62% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:24
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Tundra Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 52:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
52% · 176 games48% · 192 games
Templar AssassinCrystallis
Templar Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
57% · 154 games41% · 97 games
Kunkkabzm
Kunkka
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
54% · 74 games52% · 196 games
Sand King33
Sand King
Tiny
TinySave-
51% · 188 games49% · 104 games
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Keeper of the Light
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
47% · 30 games42% · 33 games
Winter WyvernWhitemon
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct24:15
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 39:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaPure~
43% · 68 games44% · 166 games
TerrorbladeCrystallis
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomMieRo
54% · 188 games50% · 177 games
Bristlebackbzm
Bristleback
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
51% · 158 games51% · 31 game
Wraith King33
Wraith King
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
56% · 58 games54% · 74 games
MiranaWhitemon
Mirana
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
52% · 55 games49% · 79 games
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 62%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2