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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Tundra Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 38 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 32 games
56%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 29 games
59%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 21 game
62%

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 33 games
64%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Whitemon · 27 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 24 games
71%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 23 games
57%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 21 game
52%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
764 picks · 358 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
596 picks · 612 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
555 picks · 300 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
459 picks · 522 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
448 picks · 269 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
446 picks · 731 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
438 picks · 1153 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
430 picks · 267 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 8
Model total62% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:26
BETBOOM TEAM 43%Tundra Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 35:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKiritych
46% · 212 games50% · 216 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Puck
PuckgpK~
48% · 329 games49% · 189 games
Timbersaw33
Timbersaw
Mars
MarsMieRo
46% · 211 games54% · 330 games
Ember Spiritbzm
Ember Spirit
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
52% · 126 games62% · 206 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
44% · 346 games49% · 283 games
Shadow ShamanAri
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed27:8
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Tundra Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKiritych
42% · 48 games55% · 189 games
AbaddonPure~
Abaddon
Slardar
SlardargpK~
52% · 156 games47% · 165 games
Sand King33
Sand King
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
53% · 148 games51% · 184 games
Batriderbzm
Batrider
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
45% · 344 games57% · 150 games
ChenWhitemon
Chen
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinKataomi
50% · 129 games45% · 137 games
Shadow DemonAri
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction missed29:11
BETBOOM TEAM 43%Tundra Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
48% · 379 games43% · 43 games
KezPure~
Kez
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 371 game56% · 411 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Primal Beast
Primal BeastgpK~
46% · 180 games56% · 439 games
Bristleback33
Bristleback
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
48% · 263 games52% · 426 games
BatriderAri
Batrider
Tusk
TuskKataomi
51% · 403 games48% · 277 games
ClockwerkWhitemon
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3