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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 35 games
54%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
55%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 29 games
69%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
50%

Tundra Esports

Axe
Axesignature
33 · 38 games
66%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 32 games
59%
Bane
Banesignature
Whitemon · 30 games
70%
Pugna
Pugna
Whitemon · 28 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
bzm · 26 games
62%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusk
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 357 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
597 picks · 300 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
564 picks · 456 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 549 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
547 picks · 676 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
516 picks · 308 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 751 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
483 picks · 548 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 72%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 8
Model total70% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:25
BETBOOM TEAM 38%Tundra Esports 62%
The model gave 62% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
56% · 293 games47% · 72 games
JuggernautPure~
Juggernaut
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
46% · 310 games53% · 342 games
Centaur Warrunner33
Centaur Warrunner
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
46% · 268 games51% · 469 games
Ember Spiritbzm
Ember Spirit
Muerta
MuertaSave-
48% · 234 games48% · 326 games
Dark WillowAri
Dark Willow
Tusk
TuskKataomi
46% · 405 games58% · 301 game
PugnaWhitemon
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct32:34
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Tundra Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 53:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
48% · 206 games46% · 104 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Slardar
SlardargpK~
55% · 147 games58% · 241 game
MarciPure~
Marci
Axe
AxeMieRo
47% · 148 games48% · 293 games
Centaur Warrunner33
Centaur Warrunner
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 203 games45% · 186 games
PugnaWhitemon
Pugna
Bane
BaneKataomi
55% · 163 games51% · 43 games
Spirit BreakerAri
Spirit Breaker
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 70%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2