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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vici Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 33 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 29 games
66%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
82%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
76%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
shiro · 23 games
43%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Xm · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 16 games
38%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
531 picks · 328 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 577 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
424 picks · 227 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
420 picks · 356 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 476 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
344 picks · 234 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
326 picks · 849 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
318 picks · 277 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 53%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:25
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Vici Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 56:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerKiritych
36% · 26 games59% · 41 game
Lone Druidshiro
Lone Druid
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
52% · 84 games50% · 79 games
Death ProphetXm
Death Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
46% · 142 games53% · 187 games
DoomFaith_bian
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
46% · 146 games54% · 92 games
Nyx AssassinXinQ
Nyx Assassin
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKataomi
46% · 49 games54% · 48 games
Lichy`
Lich
Game 2prediction missed0:0
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Vici Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 38:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaKiritych
46% · 261 game51% · 580 games
Tinyshiro
Tiny
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
48% · 170 games47% · 430 games
Queen of PainXm
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
51% · 441 game49% · 517 games
PangolierFaith_bian
Pangolier
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
56% · 482 games52% · 310 games
WindrangerXinQ
Windranger
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 554 games50% · 71 game
Lichy`
Lich
Game 3prediction correct0:0
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Vici Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingKiritych
50% · 94 games52% · 200 games
Terrorbladeshiro
Terrorblade
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
53% · 88 games63% · 10 games
ZeusXm
Zeus
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
38% · 153 games53% · 157 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Rubick
RubickSave-
41% · 128 games58% · 149 games
WindrangerXinQ
Windranger
Bane
BaneKataomi
50% · 109 games51% · 56 games
Lichy`
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 72%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3