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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 4 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Bignum · 4 games
75%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 3 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Dinozavrik · 2 games
50%

Virtus.pro

Tiny
Tiny
yamich · 20 games
45%
Marci
Marcisignature
yamich · 14 games
86%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mageoften banned
Xakoda · 14 games
57%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Xakoda · 13 games
62%
Doom
Doomoften banned
DM · 13 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 12 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Xakoda · 12 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
DM · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
346 picks · 335 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 328 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
236 picks · 241 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
221 picks · 145 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
206 picks · 170 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
204 picks · 543 bans
53%
Leshrac
Leshrac
196 picks · 414 bans
58%
Silencer
Silencer
185 picks · 224 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)14% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total64% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:16
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Virtus.pro 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaPure~
51% · 157 games48% · 119 games
ZeusSquad1x
Zeus
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightNightfall
43% · 145 games60% · 151 game
Faceless Voidkrylat
Faceless Void
Death Prophet
Death ProphetgpK~
48% · 233 games55% · 37 games
MagnusNoticed
Magnus
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
43% · 191 game51% · 559 games
Tinysayuw
Tiny
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 252 games54% · 112 games
Crystal MaidenDukalis
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct37:11
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Virtus.pro 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracgpK~
48% · 113 games43% · 130 games
BatriderSquad1x
Batrider
Ursa
UrsaPure~
53% · 75 games54% · 163 games
Chaos Knightkrylat
Chaos Knight
Death Prophet
Death ProphetNightfall
50% · 241 game57% · 177 games
Dragon KnightNoticed
Dragon Knight
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 214 games53% · 192 games
Rubicksayuw
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
39% · 97 games56% · 78 games
JakiroDukalis
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 64%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2