ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
WSWawitas Sagazesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Techiessignature
Save- · 33 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 24 games
Enchantress
Save- · 22 games
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 22 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 21 game
Wawitas Sagazes
Pangoliersignature
DarkMago · 6 games
Weaveroften banned
Lumière · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Panda · 4 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 4 games
Necrophosoften banned
Oscar · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Earthshaker
DarkMago · 3 games
Enchantress
Panda · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
264 picks · 383 bans
Dark Willow
228 picks · 111 bans
Muerta
217 picks · 316 bans
Treant Protector
214 picks · 461 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 293 bans
Kunkka
188 picks · 486 bans
Nature's Prophet
187 picks · 389 bans
Tusk
187 picks · 146 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:9
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Wawitas Sagazes 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverNightfall
MorphlingLumière
TidehunterPure~
Ember SpiritDarkMago
InvokergpK~
BrewmasterOscar
PugnaSave-
Treant ProtectorPanda
TuskTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction missed20:28
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Wawitas Sagazes 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 51:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spirit BreakerPure~
Templar AssassinLumière
LunaNightfall
KunkkaDarkMago
Storm SpiritgpK~
Wraith KingOscar
LinaSave-
Ancient ApparitionPanda
PugnaTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2