BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fnaticwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
605 picks · 393 bans
Tusk
536 picks · 520 bans
Tiny
527 picks · 431 bans
Treant Protector
416 picks · 499 bans
Mirana
377 picks · 371 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 188 bans
Ember Spirit
314 picks · 759 bans
Clockwerk
310 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Blacklist International
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:33
Blacklist International 47%Fnatic 53%
The model gave 53% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Fnatic in 42:38.
Game 2prediction correct13:29
Blacklist International 47%Fnatic 53%
The model gave 53% on Fnatic — the game was taken by Fnatic in 37:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 53%
Series resultFnatic 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2