Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blue pikachuloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Cutwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
Phoenixoften banned
Alren · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
Alren · 1 game
The Cut
Luna
Scourge McDuck · 1 game
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 343 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 484 bans
Mars
301 picks · 415 bans
Techies
286 picks · 201 bans
Hoodwink
278 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
274 picks · 409 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Blue pikachu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Blue pikachu 47%The Cut 53%
The model gave 53% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut.
Game 2prediction correct
Blue pikachu 47%The Cut 53%
The model gave 53% on The Cut — the game was taken by The Cut.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 53%
Series resultThe Cut 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2