IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Болгарияwin 1:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Азербайджанloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Азербайджан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 728 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 285 bans
Rubick
334 picks · 221 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 649 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
312 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
302 picks · 532 bans
Dark Willow
291 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% Болгария
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Болгария
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Болгария 77%Азербайджан 23%
The model gave 77% on Болгария — the game was taken by Болгария.
Model check result
Model favoriteБолгария · 77%
Series resultБолгария 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1