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The International 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 1:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 33 games
61%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 24 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 22 games
45%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Tims · 16 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 14 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Tims · 14 games
29%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
38%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
14%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 7 games
57%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 6 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
534 picks · 404 bans
52%
Marci
Marci
480 picks · 725 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
310 picks · 515 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
306 picks · 480 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
295 picks · 698 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
284 picks · 399 bans
47%
Enigma
Enigma
271 picks · 865 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
265 picks · 370 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 57%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct53:15
BOOM Esports 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 49:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 53%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1