Elite League · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 23 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 15 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 14 games
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 13 games
Magnusoften banned
ILICH- · 12 games
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 11 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 29 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Lion
Save- · 18 games
Techiessignature
Save- · 18 games
Mirana
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 16 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 776 bans
Batrider
467 picks · 941 bans
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 201 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 613 bans
Techies
447 picks · 339 bans
Mars
441 picks · 694 bans
Rubick
437 picks · 200 bans
Pangolier
431 picks · 733 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 42%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:42
BOOM Esports 36%BETBOOM TEAM 64%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaPakazs
OmniknightNightfall
BrewmasterILICH-
EnigmaMieRo
DisruptorPanda
BanegpK~
46% · 47 games
InvokerTORONTOTOKYO
33% · 8 games
Nyx AssassinSave-
Game 2prediction correct23:25
BOOM Esports 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarciPakazs
LunaTORONTOTOKYO
TinyILICH-
Keeper of the LightgpK~
IoPanda
Spirit BreakerNightfall
45% · 44 games
Dark SeerMieRo
61% · 16 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2