The International 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Tiny
Tims · 18 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
Mirana
Tims · 12 games
Silenceroften banned
Jaunuel · 12 games
Dragon Knight
Armel · 11 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Jabz · 10 games
Pangoliersignature
Armel · 10 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 30 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 25 games
Windranger
Save- · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
443 picks · 405 bans
Dark Willow
358 picks · 193 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 345 bans
Puck
333 picks · 800 bans
Batrider
322 picks · 845 bans
Pangolier
281 picks · 391 bans
Tiny
280 picks · 217 bans
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:25
BOOM Esports 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingJaCkky
LifestealerPure~
Void SpiritArmel
EarthshakergpK~
MarsJabz
BristlebackMieRo
RingmasterJaunuel
WindrangerSave-
DisruptorTims
BaneKataomi
Game 2prediction correct12:28
BOOM Esports 31%BETBOOM TEAM 69%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaJaCkky
Troll WarlordPure~
Queen of PainArmel
KunkkagpK~
BeastmasterJabz
Sand KingMieRo
RubickTims
HoodwinkSave-
DisruptorJaunuel
PugnaKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2