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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dream Makerloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lion
Hyde · 18 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 11 games
64%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mikoto · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Hyde · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Khezcute · 7 games
43%

Dream Maker

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
czy · 3 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 2 games
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
TrazaM · 2 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Nevermine · 2 games
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
TrazaM · 1 game
100%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
0%
Lich
Lich
TrazaM · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
czy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
373 picks · 171 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
345 picks · 124 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
265 picks · 442 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 523 bans
58%
Luna
Luna
247 picks · 345 bans
51%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
243 picks · 248 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
241 picks · 333 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
235 picks · 486 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 38%
Hero pool strength59% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:39
BOOM Esports 58%Dream Maker 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Dream Maker in 30:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPalos
62% · 50 games48% · 89 games
Sand KingNevermine
Sand King
Mars
MarsFbz
44% · 170 games53% · 93 games
Rubickczy
Rubick
Silencer
SilencerYopaj
57% · 3 games44% · 131 game
AbaddonTrazaM
Abaddon
Tusk
TuskPlayHard
57% · 65 games
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSkem
41% · 25 games
Game 2prediction correct36:13
BOOM Esports 57%Dream Maker 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPalos
48% · 81 game50% · 110 games
BatriderNevermine
Batrider
Void Spirit
Void SpiritYopaj
51% · 172 games56% · 130 games
Clockwerkczy
Clockwerk
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerFbz
43% · 84 games49% · 210 games
PangolierTrazaM
Pangolier
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritPlayHard
42% · 78 games
Bane
BaneSkem
64% · 35 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2