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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lion
Hyde · 19 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
59%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 13 games
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mikoto · 11 games
91%
Io
Iosignature
Skem · 10 games
80%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 10 games
60%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Hyde · 10 games
70%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 11 games
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
364 picks · 179 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
327 picks · 119 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
274 picks · 505 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
267 picks · 434 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 341 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
252 picks · 348 bans
52%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
238 picks · 507 bans
55%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
231 picks · 483 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:12
BOOM Esports 49%Nigma Galaxy SEA 51%
The model gave 51% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 37:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyYopaj
54% · 161 game52% · 116 games
LinaAlaCrity
Lina
Ursa
UrsaPalos
48% · 103 games51% · 160 games
TidehunterMeracle
Tidehunter
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFbz
54% · 86 games57% · 60 games
LifestealerinYourdreaM
Lifestealer
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeTims
46% · 227 games46% · 83 games
Winter WyvernPoloson
Winter Wyvern
Io
IoSkem
45% · 74 games49% · 232 games
LionJhocam
Lion
Game 2prediction missed32:44
BOOM Esports 49%Nigma Galaxy SEA 51%
The model gave 51% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 46:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerPalos
55% · 31 game51% · 73 games
SveninYourdreaM
Sven
Puck
PuckYopaj
48% · 110 games43% · 106 games
InvokerAlaCrity
Invoker
Tiny
TinyFbz
48% · 76 games39% · 30 games
Spirit BreakerMeracle
Spirit Breaker
Pangolier
PangolierTims
53% · 85 games53% · 135 games
SnapfireJhocam
Snapfire
Io
IoSkem
61% · 48 games40% · 6 games
SilencerPoloson
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 55%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2