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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OG LATAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Batrider
Batrider
Tims · 22 games
59%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Mac · 21 game
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 19 games
47%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 19 games
68%
Lion
Lion
Tims · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
73%

OG LATAM

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Elmisho · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
K1 · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
K1 · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
MoOz · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 490 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 561 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
368 picks · 176 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
284 picks · 540 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
266 picks · 374 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
261 picks · 150 bans
48%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
259 picks · 514 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
257 picks · 144 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:18
BOOM Esports 69%OG LATAM 31%
The model gave 69% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 47:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
44% · 228 games47% · 194 games
SvenK1
Sven
Puck
PuckArmel
49% · 171 game43% · 417 games
Dragon KnightDarkMago
Dragon Knight
Dark Seer
Dark SeerJabz
54% · 250 games50% · 139 games
KunkkaILICH-
Kunkka
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetJaunuel
55% · 197 games49% · 391 game
JakiroElmisho
Jakiro
Tiny
TinyTims
53% · 455 games56% · 160 games
Ancient ApparitionMoOz
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct22:6
BOOM Esports 66%OG LATAM 34%
The model gave 66% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 28:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaJaCkky
48% · 141 game50% · 202 games
Templar AssassinK1
Templar Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightArmel
49% · 303 games53% · 338 games
PangolierILICH-
Pangolier
Bristleback
BristlebackJabz
56% · 322 games47% · 185 games
MarsDarkMago
Mars
Ringmaster
RingmasterJaunuel
45% · 196 games57% · 122 games
Shadow ShamanElmisho
Shadow Shaman
Windranger
WindrangerTims
46% · 257 games49% · 372 games
JakiroMoOz
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 80%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2