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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hyde · 10 games
80%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Hyde · 9 games
44%
Lion
Lion
Hyde · 8 games
38%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 8 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Khezcute · 7 games
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Hyde · 7 games
43%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Khezcute · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mikoto · 6 games
33%

Omega Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 14 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 11 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sam_H · 10 games
60%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 9 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
377 picks · 207 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
372 picks · 979 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
363 picks · 601 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
344 picks · 356 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
314 picks · 181 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 221 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
278 picks · 191 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
275 picks · 611 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Omega Esports
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total57% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:18
BOOM Esports 45%Omega Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Omega Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 38:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingDreamocel
56% · 72 games50% · 54 games
Anti-MageTino-
Anti-Mage
Puck
PuckMikoto
51% · 116 games48% · 90 games
Storm SpiritMac
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFbz
50% · 44 games52% · 108 games
Centaur WarrunnerSam_H
Centaur Warrunner
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritHyde
47% · 67 games47% · 114 games
Snapfirecml
Snapfire
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKhezcute
50% · 67 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 57%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1