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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ws · 7 games
29%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 5 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
xNova · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
BoBoKa · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ws · 4 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
25%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
75%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
50%

Shopify Rebellion

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Cr1t- · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 9 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Fly · 7 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SabeRLight- · 7 games
43%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Arteezy · 7 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 444 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
241 picks · 384 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
233 picks · 310 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
216 picks · 101 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
212 picks · 202 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
193 picks · 365 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
189 picks · 521 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength55% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:38
BOOM Esports 38%Shopify Rebellion 62%
The model gave 62% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 29:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautPakazs
54% · 79 games62% · 36 games
Templar AssassinYopaj
Templar Assassin
Razor
RazorILICH-
52% · 32 games50% · 54 games
Nature's ProphetArteezy
Nature's Prophet
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPanda
42% · 81 game49% · 39 games
MarsSabeRLight-
Mars
45% · 63 games
TechiesThiolicor
Techies
Game 2prediction correct8:30
BOOM Esports 38%Shopify Rebellion 62%
The model gave 62% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 21:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaPakazs
48% · 60 games48% · 58 games
Templar AssassinArteezy
Templar Assassin
Windranger
WindrangerILICH-
55% · 110 games48% · 50 games
KunkkaSabeRLight-
Kunkka
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPanda
45% · 52 games55% · 24 games
Bounty HunterYopaj
Bounty Hunter
53% · 90 games
TechiesThiolicor
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 70%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2