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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The MongolZloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Tims · 19 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 17 games
76%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Parker · 16 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 16 games
44%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 15 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DarkMago · 15 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Sacred · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
50%

The MongolZ

Puck
Pucksignature
Wonder'boy · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
JG · 5 games
20%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Hishge · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 4 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
JG · 3 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Hishge · 3 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hishge · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 647 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
461 picks · 525 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
388 picks · 571 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
378 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
357 picks · 399 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
342 picks · 261 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
331 picks · 916 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
326 picks · 675 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:29
BOOM Esports 68%The MongolZ 32%
The model gave 68% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 38:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
57% · 41 game44% · 93 games
DawnbreakerJG
Dawnbreaker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
41% · 76 games55% · 134 games
InvokerWonder'boy
Invoker
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMac
48% · 26 games52% · 81 game
Nyx AssassinHishge
Nyx Assassin
Chen
ChenJaunuel
59% · 53 games
Lion
LionTims
46% · 112 games
Game 2prediction correct30:14
BOOM Esports 67%The MongolZ 33%
The model gave 67% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 38:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaJaCkky
33% · 48 games63% · 95 games
Dark SeerJG
Dark Seer
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFbz
41% · 112 games56% · 139 games
InvokerWonder'boy
Invoker
Earthshaker
EarthshakerMac
38% · 22 games54% · 97 games
Nyx AssassinHishge
Nyx Assassin
Chen
ChenJaunuel
56% · 58 games
Lion
LionTims
39% · 91 game
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 80%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2