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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 1:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DGG Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 13 games
77%
Viper
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 12 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 11 games
64%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
SkyLark · 11 games
45%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Focus · 11 games
36%
Mirana
Mirana
dEsire · 10 games
30%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Focus · 10 games
40%

DGG Esports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 466 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
434 picks · 673 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
411 picks · 530 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
391 picks · 263 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
381 picks · 850 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
338 picks · 560 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 641 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
331 picks · 161 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:37
Brame 51%DGG Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by DGG Esports in 34:38.
Game 2prediction correct39:23
Brame 51%DGG Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 40:58.
Game 3prediction missed20:38
Brame 51%DGG Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Brame — the game was taken by DGG Esports in 33:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 51%
Series resultDGG Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3