Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 20 games
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 20 games
Lunaoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 16 games
Marssignature
SkyLark · 15 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 13 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
No Sorry
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 3 games
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 2 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 2 games
Treant Protector
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Weaveroften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
Axeoften banned
LastHero- · 1 game
Clockwerk
y0nd · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
528 picks · 368 bans
Mars
460 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
419 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
409 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
324 picks · 531 bans
Spirit Breaker
322 picks · 501 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct56:48
Brame 60%No Sorry 40%
The model gave 60% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 57:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerFocus
KunkkaWorick
PuckThuG
MarsLastHero-
Spirit BreakerdEsire
Hoodwinky0nd
Legion CommanderSkyLark
DisruptorBLACKARXANGEL
WeaverSsaSpartan
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 67%
Series resultBrame 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1