FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionBbrothermenloss 0:1
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
brothermen
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 10 games
Snapfire
Shishak · 10 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Miyaoo · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 8 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 8 games
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 7 games
Lion
Shishak · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
monodrama · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
470 picks · 589 bans
Muerta
465 picks · 398 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 562 bans
Clockwerk
430 picks · 534 bans
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 776 bans
Tiny
416 picks · 472 bans
Magnus
400 picks · 880 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% brothermen
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
brothermen 34%Nemiga Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 66%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1