The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBABSJ and friendswin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Tt Geamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BSJ and friends
Abaddonoften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Muerta
Newsham · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
Rubick
Newsham · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
Tt Geam
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
523 picks · 604 bans
Ringmaster
472 picks · 238 bans
Jakiro
460 picks · 433 bans
Terrorblade
371 picks · 778 bans
Storm Spirit
351 picks · 516 bans
Ancient Apparition
344 picks · 792 bans
Tusk
334 picks · 299 bans
Shadow Shaman
322 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Tt Geam
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Tt Geam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:27
BSJ and friends 45%Tt Geam 55%
The model gave 55% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by BSJ and friends in 51:58.
Game 2prediction missed35:9
BSJ and friends 45%Tt Geam 55%
The model gave 55% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by BSJ and friends in 22:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteTt Geam · 55%
Series resultBSJ and friends 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2