Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
CDEC Gamingloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Shenzhenwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CDEC Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Shenzhen
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
340 picks · 494 bans
Snapfire
301 picks · 168 bans
Bane
290 picks · 224 bans
Weaver
276 picks · 622 bans
Tidehunter
255 picks · 389 bans
Monkey King
249 picks · 724 bans
Ember Spirit
223 picks · 304 bans
Disruptor
218 picks · 138 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 54%
Hero pool strength50% CDEC Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Shenzhen
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
CDEC Gaming 40%Shenzhen 60%
The model gave 60% on Shenzhen — the game was taken by Shenzhen.
Model check result
Model favoriteShenzhen · 60%
Series resultShenzhen 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1