Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Fightersloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chicken Fighters
No games played over 6 months.
V-Gaming
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 14 games
Abaddon
Malady · 8 games
Marssignature
laise · 8 games
Dark Willow
ArrOw · 7 games
Puckoften banned
hAze · 7 games
Viperoften banned
hAze · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
laise · 6 games
Medusasignature
TA2000 · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
414 picks · 169 bans
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 468 bans
Mars
312 picks · 520 bans
Nyx Assassin
301 picks · 616 bans
Puck
297 picks · 724 bans
Snapfire
276 picks · 153 bans
Enchantress
273 picks · 354 bans
Tiny
261 picks · 214 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% V-Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:32
Chicken Fighters 60%V-Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 38:54.
Game 2prediction missed23:13
Chicken Fighters 60%V-Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by V-Gaming in 25:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 60%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2