Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
CHILLAXloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CHILLAX
No games played over 6 months.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
452 picks · 273 bans
Mars
381 picks · 524 bans
Queen of Pain
367 picks · 504 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 471 bans
Death Prophet
295 picks · 462 bans
Kunkka
286 picks · 506 bans
Grimstroke
266 picks · 187 bans
Ember Spirit
261 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% CHILLAX
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:20
CHILLAX 40%Gambit Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 35:01.
Game 2prediction correct43:18
CHILLAX 40%Gambit Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 44:11.
Game 3prediction correct31:20
CHILLAX 40%Gambit Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 36:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 60%
Series resultGambit Esports 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3