Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectswin 2:1series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Brameloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 16 games
Weaversignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
Marsoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
Linaoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 13 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Nefrit · 12 games
Lunasignature
Nefrit · 12 games
Earth Spiritsignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
370 picks · 544 bans
Bane
341 picks · 262 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 206 bans
Weaver
323 picks · 711 bans
Monkey King
251 picks · 752 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 382 bans
Disruptor
242 picks · 152 bans
Ember Spirit
233 picks · 332 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)84% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% CIS Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:34
CIS Rejects 67%Brame 33%
The model gave 67% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Brame in 29:38.
Game 2prediction missed25:19
CIS Rejects 67%Brame 33%
The model gave 67% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Brame in 24:57.
Game 3prediction missed28:18
CIS Rejects 67%Brame 33%
The model gave 67% on CIS Rejects — the game was taken by Brame in 45:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteCIS Rejects · 67%
Series resultCIS Rejects 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3