Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
CIS Rejectsloss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Entitywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CIS Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
525 picks · 367 bans
Mars
462 picks · 658 bans
Queen of Pain
415 picks · 515 bans
Weaver
410 picks · 861 bans
Snapfire
369 picks · 188 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 528 bans
Spirit Breaker
320 picks · 495 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)79% vs 77%
Hero pool strength50% CIS Rejects
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:22
CIS Rejects 35%Entity 65%
The model gave 65% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 44:42.
Game 2prediction correct17:40
CIS Rejects 35%Entity 65%
The model gave 65% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 36:09.
Game 3prediction correct33:18
CIS Rejects 35%Entity 65%
The model gave 65% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 37:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 65%
Series resultEntity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3