Открытые киберспортивные игры 2024 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
CSKA ESPORTSwin 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushidoloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CSKA ESPORTS
No games played over 6 months.
Bushido
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 5 games
Mirana
jAMES · 4 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4IVAN · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 2 games
Hoodwink
jAMES · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
501 picks · 680 bans
Clockwerk
426 picks · 481 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 546 bans
Luna
358 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
344 picks · 178 bans
Dragon Knight
331 picks · 449 bans
Enchantress
323 picks · 655 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% CSKA ESPORTS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Bushido
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
CSKA ESPORTS 49%Bushido 51%
The model gave 51% on Bushido — the game was taken by CSKA ESPORTS.
Game 2prediction correct
CSKA ESPORTS 49%Bushido 51%
The model gave 51% on Bushido — the game was taken by Bushido.
Game 3prediction missed
CSKA ESPORTS 49%Bushido 51%
The model gave 51% on Bushido — the game was taken by CSKA ESPORTS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido · 51%
Series resultCSKA ESPORTS 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3