Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBER UNIONwin 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HFloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
CYBER UNION
Silencer
OneJey · 6 games
Tiny
Miyaoo · 5 games
Tusk
OneJey · 5 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
klassnokruto · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Marcioften banned
Arti_Shock · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
klassnokruto · 2 games
Disruptor
Arti_Shock · 2 games
HF
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Kaori · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 7 games
Puckoften banned
hAze · 7 games
Tiny
hAze · 7 games
Phoenixsignature
ArrOw · 6 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
TA2000 · 6 games
Iooften banned
Kaori · 5 games
Snapfire
ArrOw · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
319 picks · 205 bans
Undying
312 picks · 560 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 481 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 362 bans
Tusk
216 picks · 133 bans
Enigma
215 picks · 729 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength61% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
CYBER UNION 41%HF 59%
The model gave 59% on HF — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 52:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudgedizzying
Tinyerase
TuskMiyaoo
Hoodwinkweebian
ClockwerkOneJey
Naga Sirenxannii
Dark Seerklassnokruto
BeastmasterMastery
SilencerArti_Shock
MiranaSOhY
Game 2prediction missed42:21
CYBER UNION 41%HF 59%
The model gave 59% on HF — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 53:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudgedizzying
Naga Sirenxannii
TuskMiyaoo
BeastmasterMastery
Dark Seerklassnokruto
Tinyerase
ClockwerkOneJey
Hoodwinkweebian
SilencerArti_Shock
MiranaSOhY
Game 3prediction missed32:17
CYBER UNION 40%HF 60%
The model gave 60% on HF — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 32:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorbladedizzying
DoomMastery
TinyMiyaoo
Pangoliererase
Phoenixklassnokruto
Pudgexannii
ClockwerkOneJey
Skywrath Mageweebian
SilencerArti_Shock
Crystal MaidenSOhY
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 63%
Series resultCYBER UNION 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3